In the end, the game comes down to one thing: man against man. May the best man win.
~ Sam Huff
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WHAT'S THE FRIDAY FOOTBALL SMELL TEST?
Saturday, December 7, 2013
A good start, bad finish. The good, bad, and more.
1. Brian Orakpo. As active as he's been this year as a run-stopper and pass rusher.
2. Barry Cofield. He's their only legit defensive linemen although Chris Baker is growing on me.
3. Reed Doughty. Despite getting hurt, when he was in there he was what he always seems to be....a solid run-stopping safety and a very good special teamer.
4. Santana Moss as a punt returner. He catches what he's supposed to catch and when he doesn't fair-catch it, he's decisive as a runner. So much better than Thompson, Morgan, and Williams that it just angers me that they didn't put him back there in mid-September.
1. Offense after taking 14-zip lead. After taking a 14-nothing lead early in the 2nd quarter, the Redskins had 9 drives the rest of the game with the following results--184 total yards, 4 dropped passes, 4 penalties, 5 sacks, one fumble, 3 points. As for why the offense fell apart, it's not because Alfred Morris didn't get enough carries. He had 9 carries in the first half for 11 yards. How much more did you want him to get the ball? To whom was it obvious that he was on the verge of a monster 2nd half? Until they proved that they could make plays down-field in the passing game, their conventional inside-zone/outside zone run-game was going to be a tough go. The offense's lack of productivity over the final 3 quarters had more to do with drops, penalties, sacks, and lack of passing game execution than Kyle's play calling.
2. Game-changing Special Teams gaffe. The Redskins had a 17-14 lead with a dominant field position advantage when Kyle Nelson rolled the snap back to Rocca and Rocca had his punt blocked. The net yardage with a holding penalty added on was 8 yards. Giants started at the Skins 46 instead of deep in their own territory and they took the lead on that drive. Not that it was game-over but it was a game-changer for sure.
3. Drops and penalties. As mentioned above, one of the reasons the offense didn't produce more in the final 3 quarters. Garcon, Davis, and Paulson all had at least one. Davis' drop on the final drive was huge. It would've given the Skins a chance late.
4. The field. Too slippery. Cost the Skins a first-down in the 2nd quarter when Morris slipped after a catch and came up a yard short. Next play, Royster stopped on 3rd and 1.
5. Aldrick Robinson. His effort and ball skills on the one deep ball weren’t very good. He also appeared to have had a big opportunity on a reverse but got less than he should've.
1. Collinsworth is one of my favorites but he went overboard with his praise of everything Redskins-related. He said the following about Mike Shanahan and staff....."if they stick with this group, they'll win the division next year".
2. Why did RG3 run rather than throw a "Hail-Mary" on the final play of the first half?
3. Griffin went to his check-down receiver several times, especially in the first half. It seemed to be an emphasis for him. It almost looked like the coaches made it a point to let him know it was okay if that's where he ended up. It worked for the most part. He was an impressive 16-17 in the first half for 149 yards.
4. The refs blew it on the "1st-down" indication on the Skins' final drive. Bottom line, even if Triplett himself indicated third-down, other officials including at least one that authorized the chains to be moved were handling the result of the play differently. There was crew confusion so he should've stopped the clock and measured the 2nd-down spot. That was the appropriate course of action. They obviously blew it and while it DID cost them a chance to continue their final drive, I've seen enough in recent weeks to believe that their chances of tying the game even if they got the correct call were less than 50-50. We were probably headed for another Minnesota/Philly ending.
The Redskins will beat the Giants if...
1. Jordan Reed and Darrell Young play. Reed is the more important of the two but both are important to an offense that has gone missing the last two weeks. Reed is a difference-maker and gets open for a quarterback who is always looking for him. Not having him for most of the day in Philly and the entire night against the Niners impacted offensive productivity. Young is so much better than Paul as a blocker it's not even worth discussing. Without him, the run game will suffer.
2. Griffin is established as a legit run threat. If it's more important to develop him as a more comfortable pocket passer than to win the game than go for it. But they won't win if he's not a legit run-threat both out of the Pistol in the read-option game and as a drop-back passer.
3. the defense plays at least as effectively as they did vs the Niners. The defense didn't play that well on Monday night despite popular opinion. Yes, it stopped the run very effectively but no, it didn't stop anything else. It allowed 5 scores on 9 real drives. That's not good under any definition of good defense. However, for THIS defense, it wasn't as horrific as other games so it looked great by comparison. If the D can stop the run like they did Monday night, it at least forces an inconsistent Giant offense to be one-dimensional.
Neither team is very good....I'll take the home team. Skins 28-25.
WHAT'S THE FRIDAY FOOTBALL SMELL TEST?
Saturday, November 30, 2013
Time for evaluation. The good, bad, and more.
1. Run defense. One of the best run-stopping games of the year for the defense. Niners never got anything going on the ground. Then again, they didn't have to with the success they had throwing the ball. With that said, only allowing the opposition to score on 5 of its 11 drives is reason to celebrate one of the better defensive games of the season.
2. Santana Moss as a punt returner. Major improvement. His 13-yard return was the most impressive punt return of the year (not sarcasm) and the ball never hit the ground except when it hit in the end zone. A bad decision not to have him back there earlier in the season.
1. The offense. A bad night all-around for the offense. It started with sub-par quarterback play, got brought down even further by zero pass protection, mix in a few drops including Morgan's drop after the team got a short field off a turnover, throw in what looked like a bad route by either Paulson or Garcon when they were both in the same area on a play that may have been a touchdown, add a missed potential touchdown when Aldrick Robinson slowed down on a deep ball where he had a step on his defender and in summary....it was a pitiful night for the offense.
2. O-line. The 49er defense is really good but the O-line didn't put up much of a fight. Polumbus was a turnstile and Trent Williams was abused on a few occasions.
3. Robert Griffin III. 2nd straight rough performance. He played with no confidence and made no plays of note. The interception was brutally bad. He threw poorly on several other occasions. Some of his completions were bad throws. He didn't feel pressure well. He held the ball too long. It also looked like he didn't get a play call correct that led to an unnecessary timeout which hurt the team's chances to score a touchdown at the end of the half (may be wrong on that but Shanahan seemed angry with Griffin). With that said, Aldrick Robinson didn't do him any favors when he slowed down on a deep ball that may have been a touchdown.
4. Josh Wilson & pass defense. Colin Kapernick hadn't thrown well for 2 months but got healthy tonight. The Skins did a very nice job of making the 49er offense one-dimensional by stopping the run but they weren't good enough to stop the Niner air attack. Kapernick had his highest QB rating of the season. The 49ers hadn't had a pass play over 17 yards in 3 games; they had 5 tonight, 3 of them were for 30+ yards. Wilson seemed to be the target for the Niners and he didn't disappoint. Receivers were wide open in his area all night long.
5. Special Teams. Nothing on kickoff returns. Kickoff and punt coverage were lousy. Kickoffs were too short.
6. End of first-half use of timeouts. The use of timeouts killed their touchdown chances. They did a nice job however getting the field goal team on the field to get the 3 pts before the end of half. Garcon had the first-down with forward progress that would've allowed a spike to stop the clock and a few shots at the end zone.
1. Perry Riley had a huge Pick 6 opportunity but didn't pull it in.
2. The Vernon Davis fumble gave the Skins starting field position in opponents' territory for just the 2nd time in 7 games. It wasn't deep in SF territory but just barely at their 49.
3. RG3 got hit close to late on a couple of plays including the INT play but didn't get calls other QBs have been getting all year.
4. The new field was slippery.
5. They should go to the "turbo"/hurry-up more often.
6. Merriweather still leads with helmet on tackles.
7. Kyle called a 3rd and 3 RO run and a 4th and long-1 run. Neither worked so for all of those who say run it on 3rd and 3 and 4th and 1, he did. You happy now?
8. Skins real chance came after the Davis fumble early in the 3rd quarter. Offense didn't deliver. Morgan's drop killed the drive.
9. I wonder if Shanahan would've made a QB change if the Skins didn't get those two drives at the end of the first half.
The Redskins will beat the 49ers if...
1. they stop the run. Colin Kapernick has struggled as a passer for most of the season in part because he doesn't have many healthy weapons. The Niners can really run the ball but stopping the run has been the one thing defensively that the Skins aren't awful at. If they can make San Francisco one-dimensional and force Kapernick to beat them with his arm, they have a chance to limit points-against.
2. they improve starting field position. The Skins' starting field position is historically bad. The offense has just ONCE IN THEIR LAST 6 GAMES started a drive in the opponents' territory. That's hard to do and it speaks to poor Sp Teams in particular. Their average starting field position of their own 22.8 yard line is the worst in the NFL in 30 years. You could legitimately argue that starting field position has had the biggest impact on their overall W-L record. It's hard for the offense if every time they get the ball they have to go 78+ yards to score. Their Special Teams and Defense must keep field position competitive. The Skins can't get themselves into a situation where they need 50-60 yards just to get into FG range.
3. the offense is productive in the Red Zone. The offense needs to score when it gets into the Red Zone. Their last 3 trips into the Red Zone have gone a) 4th down miss in Minnesota, b) fumble in 1st quarter in Philly, and c) interception to end game in Philly. The Skins' offense is #5 in total yards, #1 in rushing, #1 in yards per carry, #4 on 3rd-downs. They've been very good at moving the football between their own 1 and the other team's 20. They need to finish when they get close.
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